Luíghne wrote: ↑Mon Sep 20, 2021 11:49 pm
If everybody in Ireland switched their private car to a EV over the next 6 months to a year. I wonder could our national grid keep up with the demand?
Well, we should note that the hypothesis is wildly unrealistic. If "everybody in Ireland switched their private car to a EV over the next 6 months to a year" the most pressing question would not be whether the electricity grid could cope, but whether the motor trade could. Complete turnover of the national fleet in the space of 6-12 months is never, ever going to happen, so it's not something we have to plan for.
But the general question is a good one; what are the implications for the electricity market of a large-scale shift to EVs?
Haven't seen any Irish figures, but for Europe as a whole someone has calculated that, when 80% of all passenger cars are EVs, electricity consumption will rise by 10-15%. If we assume that's true for Ireland, then we need to plan to find 10-15% additional generating capacity over whatever period of time we project it will take to reach the 80% mark. That's not 6-12 months, obviously.
A lot of passenger EV charging will of course take place at home, and much of it can take place overnight, when demand on power is otherwise low, so we don't need 10-15% more power stations; we may cover some of the extra demand with currently unused night-time generating capacity in existing stations.