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tesla make a billion. not all good news

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dawg
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Re: tesla make a billion. not all good news

#26

Post by dawg »

Memento Mori wrote: Sat Nov 06, 2021 8:54 pm Would love Tesla fans to explain why they think Tesla is with double what Berkshire Hathaway is (to take one example). It's insanity IMO.
Dont know the answer but


:D

Maybe it has something to do with BH being led by two men in their nineties who may be finding adjusting to life in the 21st century a bit of a challenge ? :lol:
schmittel
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Re: tesla make a billion. not all good news

#27

Post by schmittel »

On the subject of Musk's outrageous moments, $20 Billion worth of Tesla stock could be about to hit the market depending on the whims of the twitterati!



Should be interesting!
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dawg
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Re: tesla make a billion. not all good news

#28

Post by dawg »

So anyway, A crew is returning to earth from the ISS. NASA contracted SpaceX to do the return.

The Start :



Technically trivial ? Nope

An Elon vanity project ? I think not :lol:

More :

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dawg
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Re: tesla make a billion. not all good news

#29

Post by dawg »

And...

Next ISS crew now delivered to place of work

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dawg
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Re: tesla make a billion. not all good news

#30

Post by dawg »

Mountain wrote: Mon Nov 08, 2021 10:00 pm And you are entitled to think that.

:D
NASA are going to Mars



Its now a question of what companies get what contracts

Its a competitive situation
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Del.Monte
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Re: tesla make a billion. not all good news

#31

Post by Del.Monte »

It would be nice if one of the space vehicles could be designed to take Trump, Putin, Rocket Man, the Chinese Poilitburo, the fascist scumbag in Belarus, Zuckerberg, Bezos etc.etc on a one way trip to outer space.
'no more blah blah blah'
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dawg
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Re: tesla make a billion. not all good news

#32

Post by dawg »

Lots of room for all those and many more in Starship

Development is well advanced

JONJO THE MISER
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Re: tesla make a billion. not all good news

#33

Post by JONJO THE MISER »

If the opportunity came in the next few decades to be one of the first few million settlers on Mars, would you go for it?
Id jump at the chance, first Irish pub on another planet, serving the best Guinness this side of Mars, no space suit, no space boots, no service.
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dawg
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Re: tesla make a billion. not all good news

#34

Post by dawg »

Thats a thought ...

An Irish Pub on Mars
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Re: tesla make a billion. not all good news

#35

Post by JONJO THE MISER »

dawg wrote: Fri Nov 12, 2021 7:39 pm Thats a thought ...

An Irish Pub on Mars
Could built your own crypto coin to support the start up costs.
765489

Re: tesla make a billion. not all good news

#36

Post by 765489 »

Anyways wondered why they haven't yet constructed something on the moon first. A space port / moon city. Would love to be sitting in a bar having a pint of Carlsberg looking at Earth out the window.
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Re: tesla make a billion. not all good news

#37

Post by Del.Monte »

You can go to the moon on the cheap anyway - especially all you carpenters and DIY merchants. Full instructions on building your own rocket are included in this movie which covers all I know, or want to know, about space travel. :mrgreen:

'no more blah blah blah'
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Re: tesla make a billion. not all good news

#38

Post by 765489 »

:mrgreen:
Screenshot_20211112-201149_Chrome.jpg
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dawg
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Re: tesla make a billion. not all good news

#39

Post by dawg »

Image

Am I the only one here of the TinTin generation ? :mrgreen:
765489

Re: tesla make a billion. not all good news

#40

Post by 765489 »

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Re: tesla make a billion. not all good news

#41

Post by Del.Monte »

Tintin was great, I started off collecting it when it was the main cartoon in the Irish Times.
'no more blah blah blah'
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Re: tesla make a billion. not all good news

#42

Post by JONJO THE MISER »

Ncdjd2 wrote: Fri Nov 12, 2021 7:55 pm Anyways wondered why they haven't yet constructed something on the moon first. A space port / moon city. Would love to be sitting in a bar having a pint of Carlsberg looking at Earth out the window.
I'm big into ufo's. Apparently we have been warned off the moon.
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Re: tesla make a billion. not all good news

#43

Post by JONJO THE MISER »

Normally would never watch CNN but next Saturday they have a premiere documentary called the hunt for planet B, about the launch of the James Webb telescope, which is a few years behind schedule but will launch next year, can look back 13 billion lights years, near the big bang.
This telescope will really alter our place in the universe and our understanding, will be able to confirm life on other planets through various means.
Just imagine this telescope can look back at light nearly 13 billion years ago that is just coming to us now and people laugh when you mention life on other planets, there the ignorant ones and the ones that should be laughed at.
765489

Re: tesla make a billion. not all good news

#44

Post by 765489 »

JONJO THE MISER wrote: Fri Nov 12, 2021 11:45 pm I'm big into ufo's. Apparently we have been warned off the moon.
Would be a great starting point to get a base / research station on it. There are a couple of active proposals from the US, Russia and China but are years away.
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Re: tesla make a billion. not all good news

#45

Post by Wibbs »

dawg wrote: Fri Nov 12, 2021 6:54 pm Lots of room for all those and many more in Starship

Development is well advanced
Starship looks great an all that, but as an actual way to get to Mars or even the Moon? I have my doubts on a few fronts. Getting into near earth orbit(and suborbital flight) is pretty "easy", going translunar or transmartian is a whole other ballgame. It requires a shít tonne of fuel for a start. The ability of the starship to not burn up like a roman candle coming back to earth another. Orbital speeds on re-entry are 17000 mph, coming back from the Moon is 25,000. Big diff. For example the Shuttle if it could have flown to the moon(it couldn't) would burn right through its heat shield at those speeds and the wings would be ripped off. Its size would make this even more of an issue, ditto for the starship. Size is your enemy.

NASA'a Apollo, the Russians and the like use an ablative heat shield. Essentially a layer that burns away as it descends taking the heat with it. That's OK for a small capsule, a right pain for anything bigger, hence NASA went with ceramic tiles for the shuttle heatshield. A setup that basically traps the heat in a "maze" of sorts so it doesn't get through to the alloy skin. And look at the issues they had with that. SpaceX's idea for shielding is based around something not unlike how sweating cools us, a load of ceramic tiles filled with holes where fuel would be passed through and boil off cooling the skin beneath. An idea totally untested at the moment and one that has all sorts of issues. EG if those pores clog up anywhere, heat will rapidly increase where that happens and things tend to go bang after that.

Then we have the payload. Humans need a lot of weight to survive up there. A breathable atmosphere, shielding against radiation, heat, cooling, food, water, living space etc. As far as human flight is concerned "space" is a bad term. "Cramped" would be a better one. Keeping proper hardcore astronauts well used to discomfort without complaint, alive and functioning on a week long jaunt to the moon needed a 36 storey high, 50 feet higher than the statue of liberty Saturn V with the explosive power of a two kiloton nuclear bomb to do it.
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Re: tesla make a billion. not all good news

#46

Post by Wibbs »

Ncdjd2 wrote: Sat Nov 13, 2021 10:38 am Would be a great starting point to get a base / research station on it. There are a couple of active proposals from the US, Russia and China but are years away.
+1 the moon is a far better bet to test out our tech, landing and establishing a long term presence before heading for mars. The thing is Mars looks nice. It almost looks like a desert here on Earth, but it's a nasty nasty place. The atmosphere is so thin it barely deserves the name. It offers pretty much zero protection against cosmic radiation. If you wanted to fully sterlise surgical equipment, just leave it out in the surface for half and hour. Job done. It's also very very far away. So things like solar panels would give you half the power output compared to here on earth. Noon on mars would be like approaching dusk here on earth(and sunsets are blue which is kinda cool). Temps don't swing as much as on the moon, but they're pretty crappy. It has more gravity so that would reduce long term effects on the human body. Yes it has water and methane but the water as far as we know is concentrated at the poles so we'd have to get there to utilise it.

Now if we got going to and living on the moon down to something approaching doable in the long term then Mars would be workable. Though again the distance away is another issue. A few days flight to the moon, six months at best to mars. That's a long time in deep space being pummeled with the solar winds. Never mind all the food, water and life support required. And if anything went wrong like an Apollo 13 moment then pretty much abandon all hope. Indeed Apollo 13 was "lucky" because of when and where the problem happened. If it had happened earlier in the mission. Game over. If it had happened later. Game over. If something similar happened two months into a transmartian flight, kiss your arse goodbye.
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Re: tesla make a billion. not all good news

#47

Post by 765489 »

I was reading this today Wibbs. I never knew the moon had such a large reserve of oxygen locked away in its rocks.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/theconvers ... ars-170013
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Re: tesla make a billion. not all good news

#48

Post by dawg »

Wibbs, from my ( engineers ) point of view, resolving the issues is the thrill of it.

Present talk is to tanker fuel to leo ( and maybe the moon ) and set up a refueling station

Nextgen motors run off (liquid) O2 & CH4

Assumption that this can be produced from water, CO2 and sunlight ( i.e. fuel plant on Mars )

The business of the earths atmosphere & gravity ( i.e. energy needed to get out and energy given off on reentry ) doesnt crop up with moon or Mars to the same extent. Once the big stuff has been powered out of earth gravity, perhaps they should stay up there with little yokes going down to earth ? ( dont think thats in anyones plan at present - and why would it ? clearly a second best approach )

Airbus have an interest in a startup ( https://www.spinlaunch.com/ ) that hopes to come up with a way to throw stuff up to leo...if they can do it then this would open up a new approach to getting freight out from earth
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Re: tesla make a billion. not all good news

#49

Post by Wibbs »

dawg wrote: Sat Nov 13, 2021 9:37 pm Wibbs, from my ( engineers ) point of view, resolving the issues is the thrill of it.
Oh most certainly.
Present talk is to tanker fuel to leo ( and maybe the moon ) and set up a refueling station

Nextgen motors run off (liquid) O2 & CH4

Assumption that this can be produced from water, CO2 and sunlight ( i.e. fuel plant on Mars )
Well let's look at Mars. Yes there's a load of CO2 and a fair bit of water but they're either locked in the poles in ice form or extremely difuse in what passes for the atmosphere. OK the average human takes around 20,000 breaths per day and on breathing out there's a fair bit of CO2. Comparing the air density of Earth to Mars against that Mars would be a minute or two of breathing out. The Martian atmosphere is crazily thin. The sunlight is also half the strength of the levels hitting the Earth. So you have a few serious practical engineering problems. You first have to collect the CO2 which will use lots of energy and not a little time. Then you have to process it into a form usuable by the engines and get it into storage. More energy. Solar is going to need at least double the size of the equivalent on earth and you have to keep the panels clear of the ever present Martian dust. Pulling CO2 out of Earth's much more amenable atmosphere and storing it using solar energy would be a longwinded affair and take a fair bit of time and that's without all the other hazards of Mars involved and you have all the materials you need to hand. Splitting water into O2 and H is bloody energy intensive too. It looks easy if you stick two wires from a car battery into water and get bubbles, but on an industrial scale it's really not. That's one problem with using hydrogen to replace fossil fuel engines. Ah sure we're surrounded by water we can split that. Nope. Most of the hydrogen produced today uses a different method, ironically using fossil fuels as the base ingredients and it's pretty dirty. You pretty much may as well use the fossil fuels.

Then you have the problems of living there. That flic the Martian had the stranded astronaut using Martian "soil" to produce spuds. Nope. Martian soil is full of stuff like chlorates that's very toxic to plants and any that will grow in it would need brought in nutrients and would concentrate those toxins in their roots, leaves and fruit, so it would be toxic to eat too. Then you add in the lack of light for photosynthesis. In teh same flic you had his living quarters battered by a Martian storm. The reality is you would barely register hurricane force Martian winds on the hairs of your arm.
The business of the earths atmosphere & gravity ( i.e. energy needed to get out and energy given off on reentry ) doesnt crop up with moon or Mars to the same extent. Once the big stuff has been powered out of earth gravity, perhaps they should stay up there with little yokes going down to earth ? ( dont think thats in anyones plan at present - and why would it ? clearly a second best approach )
When they were looking into Apollo in the early days one notion was to build a space station vehicle assembly type affair in near earth orbit. They gave up on that plan because a) at that stage they'd only made suborbital flights b) it would be scarily expensive and c) no way could they do it within the decade. The fact the Saturn V went from initial ideas to flight in six years was incredible enough. So they went for the much "cheaper" and dirtier big feckin rocket with two small craft, where one would leave and go down to the surface and back again(a hairy notion in of itself). The One giant feck off rocket landing directly on the Moon a la the Tintin pic above was dismissed early on as the thing would have been huge and the ladder to the surface a long way down and would have been about as stable as a one legged stool. And they had no idea how solid the moon's surface was at that point. Some reckoned the surface was made of extremely fine dust going down hundreds of metres and any craft would just sink down into it, or the engines would blow a huge crater and sink into that. Until Apollo 11 actually touched down they still weren't sure. Hence the landing gear didn't compress fully and Neil had to jump the last metre or so from the ladder to the pad. It turns out the moon's surface is covered in fine dust, but for most of it not very deep, a few inches to a few feet. You can see that with the film of the Apollo landings, some kick up a load of dust, some bugger all. Even planting the US flag was a problem as the pole would only go down a couple of inches on some missions. Armstrong was very conscious of it falling over on international TV and when they took off from the surface it did blow down.

Earth orbit is easy and we'll get ever better at that alright, but going beyond Earth to the Moon or Mars or beyond is of a serious magnitude more of a leap. As for interstellar travel... Well, unless we figure a way to bend spacetime it's essentially unfeasible, even with imaginary future propulsion systems. Even if you could get near the speed of light, the energy required is staggeringly vast. Then you'd have to have some sort of deflector ahead of you because at even half those speeds a grain of rice hitting you would be like a small nuclear explosion. And there's a lot bigger stuff out there. Stuff that at those speeds would be hard to spot and harder to steer around. Beyond Pluto there is a huge area called the Oort cloud far from the light of the sun, beyond that feck knows. There could be lots of dark planet sized objects just hanging out beyond the gravitational influence of stars.

Travelling to another star system is kinda like attempting to fly a paper plane across the Atlantic. It would be technically feasible and we could imagine how we might do it, but it would take a very long time and you might get across once in every thousand attempts and what would be the point of trying? Until we confirm an Eart like planet we could colonise and even then. It's likely there isn't one in our nieghbourhood so add on more decades of travel.

The other problem is that you wouldn't want to be the first to try. Chances are in your many decades of flight new tech could come along on Earth and newer faster missions would follow and pass you out on the way and they'd have no way to meet up and move you to their ship. And whatever trip you took would be a one way one.
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Re: tesla make a billion. not all good news

#50

Post by dawg »

Another day, another Falcon 9 launch



This one to deploy 53 more Starlink satellites

Starlink can be considered as a version of NBP, but for the world and focused on rural connections ( the type that are usually expensive to achieve )
NBP ( broadband for RoI ) is projected to cost approximately €3bn.

Starlink ( rural broadband for the world ) is expected to require $5bn - $10bn before it is cash flow positive and will probably have a total investment of $20bn - $30bn when fully built.

When put in context, does NBP seems a bit spendy ?
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