midlander12 wrote: ↑Mon Nov 03, 2025 10:39 am
None of which, by constitutional design, CC can do anything about anyway.
The push for a United Ireland referendum by 2030 bemuses me, as it seems to me that a vote in the next five years would almost certainly result in a NO, however narrowly, and probably set the issue back at least another decade. Then again, no UK govt will authorise one until there's a consistent series of polls showing a YES majority, so I suppose it's easy to look for something you know you can't get and don't really want anyway as it won't give you the result you need. And add in the possibility of a Farage govt from 2029 stirring the pot along with the loyalist far-right....
Incidentally, the first time I heard the phrase 'a United Ireland in 5 years' was Brian Lenihan Snr when I was still at school. It's a long time to be holding your breath.
As long the Gaeilgeoir thing, I visit designated Gaeltacht areas at least once a year and hear less Irish every time (and in one case, literally none). It is I suppose the latest online 'vibe' thing but I can predict here and now that there'll be less Irish spoken at the end of CC's presidency than at the start of it, outside the rarefied confines of the Aras and certain Trinners students societies. Maybe we should ask the Welsh how they manage it. In the meantime, hopefully CC will deliver any comments on the EU, Ukraine and related subjects in Irish so they'll attract less attention.
Not directed at you personally - just picking up on these points.
would almost certainly result in a NO, however narrowly, and probably set the issue back at least another decade. Then again, no UK govt will authorise one until there's a consistent series of polls showing a YES majority, so I suppose it's easy to look for something you know you can't get and don't really want anyway as it won't give you the result you need. And add in the possibility of a Farage govt from 2029 stirring the pot along with the loyalist far-right....
RE: Brit Gov. not calling a referendum until there is a consistent series of polls showing a YES majority.
The actual GFA states
“if at any time it appears likely to him that a majority of those voting would express a wish that Northern Ireland should cease to be part of the UK and form part of a united Ireland”.
Key words are - "if at any time". There is nothing in the GFA that states a consistent series of polls.
The reality is that there has already been THREE polls that showed a majority in favour of the reunification of Ireland. LucidTalk (2017) 46% to 45%, OFOC/Deltapoll (2018) 52% to 39% and Ashcroft (2019) 46% to 45% - yet we Irish are still being denied by the foreign British the democratic right to vote in our own country about our own country.
Another thing is that the criteria does not mention a survey'poll per se - therefore election results must be taken into consideration. Irish people now elect the most MP's sent to Westminster - Irish people elect the most Councillors - Irish people elect the most MLA's (I'm including Alliance because recent surveys within the Party show it is now a majority Nationalist political Party).
Also - LESS than 50 percent of the people in the occupied 6 counties of Ireland right now in 2025 want to remain within the political entity called the UK.
RE: Border Poll itself.
We can get it - all we have to do is use the leverage we already have. Also once there is a border poll, if we lose, we can have another one after 7 years. Anyway, the campaign has not yet begun, and one has only to think of the surge the YES campaign received once the referendum was called in Scotland. I believe that once a referendum is called here, the north given the history of England in Ireland and the chance to right a wrong, will vote to end foreign British rule in Ireland.
RE: Farage.
If he does become brit PM and does what he says he will do, and that creates a hard border in Ireland - then that will just encourage the majority Irish and most of the middle ground to want the 6 counties to leave the UK. History has shown that it is when people in the north are most unhappy with foreign British rule, the support for the reunification of Ireland increases. Which is why logic suggests that trying to make the north work and pumping money into the north by Micheál Martin is a total nonsense as far as the reunification of Ireland is concerned. If people in the 6 counties are content within the UK, they are hardly going to vote to leave it. Think about it - has anyone heard the Unionists whinge about the Micheál Martin so-called "shared Island" AKA kill the idea of the reunification of Ireland with kindness and keep the north within the UK project. His British/Unionist handlers love him.
Those are the actual facts and the reality of the matter, and I have not mentioned the bogus results in the 6 county census - the lie hiding in plain sight. The question is - why isn't Fianna Fail and Fine Gael in the Irish Gov. not only not pushing the British Gov. for a vote on the reunification of Ireland, but are not even preparing the south for the reunification of our country.
Why do people blindly accept all this inaction - shouldn't we Irish have learned by now that England's word is meaningless and they never signed a treaty that they didn't try to change or renege on.
Perfidious Albion is an actual thing you know.
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