I thought it might be worth a separate thread on Just the military side of the war in the Ukraine.
To put it bluntly I don't see how Ukraine can win against Russia but the defence of Kiev could end up a massive meat grinder on the scale of Verdun.
What Russia has in spades is Artillery and they seem to be using it. It might not happen straight away but if Kiev puts a really good defence then I see the Russians flattening it street at a time. If Kiev falls will the rest of the Ukraine go with it?
The issues Russia seem to be having is a reluctance of their (conscript?) troops to fight and poor logistics. FFS the Russian effort so far seems to be predicated on having nuclear bombs so the rest of the army has been left to go to sh!t? Even so they should be able to keep going and absorb enormous losses and eventually get the upper hand.
Does anyone think Ukraine can win? If so how?
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The tactics
Re: The tactics
Kyiv is key. The longer Ukraine can hold it, the better for them. I can see Russia trying to pound Kyiv but it'll end up like Stalingrad with the roles reversed. Ukraine will hold Kyiv.
Russia can't hold the country. They'll require a large amount of compliant people to do their bidding. Guerilla tactics would be important to frustrate the supply lines. This would get worse the longer they are.
I can see Ukraine winning through the Russian offe…login to view the rest of this post
Russia can't hold the country. They'll require a large amount of compliant people to do their bidding. Guerilla tactics would be important to frustrate the supply lines. This would get worse the longer they are.
I can see Ukraine winning through the Russian offe…login to view the rest of this post