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If it is, as expected, Macron and Le Pen in final two then obviously depends which way the rest of the votes break for each candidate. Strong momentum for Mélenchon would suggest Le Pen doesn't have a chance, but we've seen a few largely unexpected results in recent years.
One thing I find interesting is that in all demographics under 55 years old Le Pen has more support than Macron.
Don't think Le Pen will pull it off. But seriously, Macron, you are not the hero you think you are to have Marine Le Pen snapping so close at your heels.
